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Federer. Nadal, Djokovic: As Unbreakable From 15/0 As They Are At 40/30

  • Posted: Jun 12, 2019

Federer. Nadal, Djokovic: As Unbreakable From 15/0 As They Are At 40/30

Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers shows how the Big Three are close to untouchable at three important scorelines

What’s the difference between 15/0, 30/15 and 40/30? Essentially nothing…

An Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers analysis of the Big Three since the start of the 2015 season up to Roland Garros at these three scorelines identifies that the percentage chance of holding serve varies only by about one percentage point.

You would naturally think there would be a significant increase in holding from 40/30 over 15/0, but it’s simply not the case. The following breakdown for Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer shows a consistent trend with all three point scores.

You May Also Like: Read & Watch: Nadal, Federer, Djokovic: The Second-Serve Titans

Percentage Point Range Between 15/0, 30/15 and 40/30
Novak Djokovic = 1.1 percentage point
Roger Federer = 1.0 percentage point
Rafael Nadal = 1.0 percentage point

No. 1 Novak Djokovic / 2015-2019 Holding Serve From Three Point Scores

Point Score

Points Played

Points Won

Hold Percentage













Djokovic had the highest percentage chance of holding serve of the three point scores at 40/30 (93.1%). You would think being just one point from closing the game would significantly increase his chance of holding serve from a 15/0 position, but the gap between the two is just 0.7 percentage points.

No. 2 Rafael Nadal / 2015-2019 Holding Serve From Three Point Scores

Point Score

Points Played

Points Won

Hold Percentage













Nadal also held serve the most when leading 40/30, 93.2 per cent (955/1024) of the time. All three of Nadal’s win percentages fall within a one percentage point range, between 92.2 per cent and 93.2 per cent.

World No. 3 Roger Federer / 2015-2019 Holding Serve From Three Point Scores

Point Score

Points Played

Points Won

Hold Percentage













Federer had the highest win percentages for the Big Three at all three point scores. Surprisingly, Federer had a slightly better chance of holding serve at 15/0 (2183/2278) than he did at either of the other two point scores.

When you drill down into statistics, you often find things can be quite different than you realise. In this case, the change you think is there doesn’t exist at all.

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Shapovalov/Bopanna Upset Bryans In Stuttgart

  • Posted: Jun 12, 2019

Shapovalov/Bopanna Upset Bryans In Stuttgart

All-time greats were going for their first Stuttgart title

Rohan Bopanna/Denis Shapovalov pulled off the upset of the day on Wednesday at the MercedesCup in Stuttgart. The Indian-Canadian pairing knocked out third seeds Bob Bryan/Mike Bryan 6-4, 3-6, 10-6 to make the quarter-finals of the ATP 250 event.

The Bryans, who have won 118 doubles titles across 35 different tournaments, were seeking their first MercedesCup title. Bopanna/Shapovalov will next face French wild cards Lucas Pouille/Jo-Wilfried Tsonga.

You May Also Like: Read & Watch: Fast and Furious: Medvedev Aces Game In 29 Seconds

In other action, top seeds John Peers/Bruno Soares advanced in straight sets against Denys Molchanov/Artem Sitak 6-3, 7-6(5) to make the semi-finals. Brits Luke Bambridge/Jonny O’Mara also advanced, beating the Italian-Hungarian pairing of Matteo Berrettini/Marton Fucsovics 3-6, 6-3, 10-3. The Brits will next face Aussies Nick Kyrgios/Matt Reid.

At the Libema Open, in the lone doubles match of the day, fourth seeds Rajeev Ram/Joe Salisbury beat Dutchmen Sander Arends/Matwe Middelkoop 5-7, 7-6(4), 10-5 and will next meet Alex de Minaur/David Vega Hernandez.

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Read & Watch: Fast and Furious: Medvedev Aces Game In 29 Seconds

  • Posted: Jun 12, 2019

Read & Watch: Fast and Furious: Medvedev Aces Game In 29 Seconds

Russian was in a hurry on Wednesday in Stuttgart

In as much time as it takes to read this story, Daniil Medvedev won a service game on Wednesday at the MercedesCup in Stuttgart.

The Russian, down 6-7(6), 6-4, 1-5 against Frenchman Lucas Pouille, hit four consecutive aces. The game lasted 29 seconds.

After each ace, Medvedev did not towel off or walk to the back wall to inspect the balls.

You May Also Like: Gone In 37 Seconds, Kyrgios Blows Away Shot Clock

Instead, he simply received another ball, turned to Pouille, bounced the ball a couple times and crushed another ace. Less than half of a minute later, he was walking to the chair and raising his racquet as the crowd cheered for one of the fastest service games in recent memory.

Last year at the Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati, Aussie Nick Kyrgios recorded a 37-second service game.

Pouille, however, advanced in Stuttgart 7-6(6), 4-6, 6-2 and will next face German Jan-Lennard Struff, who beat #NextGenATP Serbian Miomir Kecmanovic 6-2, 6-2. Pouille is going for his second Stuttgart title after winning the grass-court crown in 2017.

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Heather Watson loses in Nottingham first round

  • Posted: Jun 12, 2019

British number three Heather Watson lost to Greece’s Maria Sakkari in the first round of the Nature Valley Open in a rainy Nottingham.

The 27-year-old, who made the quarter-finals at Surbiton last week, was beaten 6-4 6-3 by Sakkari, who is ranked 82 places higher in the world.

Fellow Briton Harriet Dart beat Vera Lapko in three sets to book a last-16 match with Australian Ajla Tomljanovic.

Compatriot Katie Swan lost to American Bernarda Pera 7-6 (7-5) 6-1.

  • Evans focused on making up for ‘lost time’

For a second successive day, no play was possible on the grass courts at the Nottingham Tennis Centre with action moving indoors and on to a hard surface.

The all-British match-up between former top-50 player Dan Evans and Jack Draper in the men’s tournament has been postponed until Thursday.

Elsewhere Canada’s 2016 Wimbledon runner-up Milos Raonic overcame France’s Jo Wilfried-Tsonga 6-4 6-7 (5-7) 7-6 (7-1) in a match that stretched to two hours and 29 minutes in the ATP event in Stuttgart.

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Nadal, Ferrer Offer Wisdom To Academy Graduating Class

  • Posted: Jun 12, 2019

Nadal, Ferrer Offer Wisdom To Academy Graduating Class

Surround yourself with the right people, Nadal advises

There are commencement speakers, and then there are commencement speakers.

The 29 students who graduated from the Rafa Nadal Academy by Movistar on Wednesday afternoon were treated to words of wisdom from two Spanish tennis legends as Rafael Nadal and recently retired David Ferrer spoke to the graduating class, the academy’s third.

<a href=''>Rafael Nadal</a> and <a href=''>David Ferrer</a> offer departing wisdom to the 2019 graduating class of the Rafa Nadal Academy by Movistar.

Nadal, who won his record-extending 12thRoland Garros title on Sunday, told the students to surround themselves with the right people. The Spaniard leaned on his inner circle as he recovered from injury to recently win a record-setting 34th ATP Masters 1000 title in Rome and yet another Roland Garros crown. 

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“First thing that I want to do is say congratulations to these 29 students who graduate today. I am not a big fan [of giving] advice, but the only thing that I want to tell you is try to be around good people. That’s the most important thing,” Nadal said.

“When you are around good people, life is happier, life is easier, and for sure you become a better person when you have the right people around you.”

Watch Rafa’s Full Speech To The Graduates

Ferrer, who retired at the Mutua Madrid Open last month, also spoke at the ceremony, which was attended by family, friends and school staff and took place in the centre court of the academy. The students attended the academy’s school, the American International School of Mallorca.

Nadal is next scheduled to compete at Wimbledon, which begins 1 July. The Spaniard is a two-time champion (2008, 2010) at the grass-court Grand Slam, and will be looking to maintain his place atop the ATP Race To London.

See Who’s Chasing Nadal In The ATP Race To London

Watch Ferrer’s Full Speech To The Graduates

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Coric Comes Back In 's-Hertogenbosch

  • Posted: Jun 12, 2019

Coric Comes Back In ‘s-Hertogenbosch

De Minaur, Thompson also advance

Second seed Borna Coric started his grass-court season with a comeback win on Wednesday at the Libema Open in ‘s-Hertogenbosch. The reigning NOVENTI OPEN champion in Halle (d. Federer) beat American Taylor Fritz 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 to make the quarter-finals of the ATP 250 event.

Coric, who fell in the third round at Roland Garros (l. to Struff), eventually made inroads on Fritz’s serve after the American won all 12 of his first-service points in the opening set. In the final two sets, Coric, who didn’t earn a break point in the opener, converted all three break points he saw. The 22-year-old will next meet seventh seed Cristian Garin or home favourite Robin Haase. Their second-round match was postponed until Thursday because of rain with Garin leading 7-5, 2-3.

You May Also Like: Raonic Living Dangerously In Stuttgart

Third seed Alex de Minaur won his second match in the past four months, beating Italian Andreas Seppi 7-5, 6-3. De Minaur has struggled with a hip injury and is 2-5 since March.

The 2019 Next Gen ATP Finals runner-up will next meet countryman Jordan Thompson, who upset sixth-seeded #NextGenATP American Frances Tiafoe 6-3, 6-2. Thompson was 1-11 at tour-level in 2018, but is already 16-11 this season and is into his fourth tour-level quarter-final of the year.

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Forward-thinking Evans at home on grass courts

  • Posted: Jun 12, 2019

Dan Evans clearly doesn’t want to dwell on his much-discussed past.

The British number three knows he “lost time” and is well aware he has no one else to blame for serving a 12-month ban from April last year for testing positive for cocaine.

Why waste energy on what’s gone when the present makes much more pleasing reading for the 29-year-old?

Since returning to the tour, Evans has spent 14 months steadily climbing the world rankings and is just a strong summer away from getting back into the top 50.

Victory in the Surbiton Trophy earlier this month shows his game is in very good health at the start of the grass-court season.

  • I made a mistake – Evans admits failed drugs test
  • Evans’ ability to self-destruct resurfaced

“It really couldn’t have gone any better,” Evans told BBC Sport on Wednesday as he awaited his first outing at this year’s rain-soaked Nature Valley Open in Nottingham.

“It was great to get a lot of tennis under my belt. I played five matches and got better and better with each round, and I am really happy with my form.

“The grass courts suit me and my game. I like to get into the net. I enjoy playing on grass, and winning in Surbiton was a great start.”

The stats back that up. Last year saw Evans reach the semis in Surbiton – his first tournament after his suspension – before shining in Nottingham, where he made it all the way to the final.

His run ended with defeat in a tight match against Australian teenager Alex de Minaur.

But his form has remained impressive and Birmingham-born Evans is back up to 70 in the world following his success in South West London, not far from the more prestigious surroundings of Wimbledon.

It still feels like Evans has much more to give. And while he “doesn’t want to put numbers” on a ranking target, he wants to “get higher than I was” – namely the 41st place he attained in March 2017.

Things looked to be pretty rosy around that time, but even before his drugs ban, Evans had spent much of his career fending off accusations of wasting his talent and not putting in the required amount of work to really break into the sport’s elite.

He has twice been stripped of his Lawn Tennis Association (LTA) funding and had numerous run-ins with former coaches over his off-court attitude and a lack of discipline.

But he sees any past troubles as just that – past troubles.

He did not have a world ranking in April 2018, but was 189th in January 2019 and 70th after winning in Surbiton.

“I don’t think about what has happened now,” he said, with more than a tinge of irritation. “It has gone. It’s behind me.

“I have worked hard to get back where I am in the top 100 and am playing well. I don’t think about where I could get to at Wimbledon, but if I make it to the fourth round then who knows.”


Russell Fuller, BBC tennis correspondent

I’ve felt for several months now that Dan Evans was going to be a very dangerous man to face on the grass this summer.

He’s worked very hard for the past 12 months, and his ranking is nearly where it was before the ban.

If you look at his results for 2019 alone, he is a top 50 player, with Cameron Norrie the only British player above him.

Evans has beaten John Isner and Frances Tiafoe, and came very close to beating Stan Wawrinka in Indian Wells in March.

He has a lovely touch and a great slice, and so will always be very comfortable on the grass.

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Raonic Living Dangerously In Stuttgart

  • Posted: Jun 12, 2019

Raonic Living Dangerously In Stuttgart

Fucsovics saves three match points against Basilashvili

Milos Raonic scraped past Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 6-4, 6-7(5), 7-6(1) in two hours and 27 minutes on Wednesday for a place in the MercedesCup quarter-finals.

The sixth seed and last year’s runner-up, who hit 24 aces, won four straight points from 0/30 at 5-5 in the deciding set and improved to a 5-2 record against Tsonga in their FedEx ATP Head2Head series. The Canadian won seven points from 0/1 in the final tie-break.

“I knew it was going to be tough, so I feel very lucky to have a chance to play another match,” said Raonic, who is returning to the ATP Tour after recovering from a right knee injury. “My serve helped me out a lot and the goal is to win as many games and matches as I can.”

View Stuttgart Singles & Doubles Draws

Raonic, who also beat Australian qualifier Alexei Popyrin in a third set tie-break on Tuesday, is now 43-19 lifetime on grass, which includes three runner-up finishes (2016 Fever-Tree Championships, Wimbledon; 2018 Stuttgart).

He will next challenge Hungary’s Marton Fucsovics, who saved three match points to edge out fourth-seeded Georgian Nikoloz Basilashvili 7-6(4), 2-6, 7-5 in two hours and 15 minutes. Fucsovics saved three match points when serving at 4-5 in the deciding set, then won nine of the next 12 points.

You May Also Like: Five Things To Know About Struff

Later in the day, Germany’s Jan-Lennard Struff fired 15 aces in a 6-2, 6-2 win over Miomir Kecmanovic of Serbia in 59 minutes. Struff entered the week at a career-high No. 38 in the ATP Rankings following a Round of 16 run at Roland Garros (l. to Djokovic).

Struff will next meet French wild card and 2017 champion Lucas Pouille, who knocked out No. 3 seed Daniil Medvedev 7-6(6), 4-6, 6-2 in just over two hours to improve to a perfect 4-0 FedEx ATP Head2Head record against the Russian. Medvedev fired 19 aces – including four in a 29-second game – to three for Pouille, but the Frenchman converted on three of his 12 break point opportunities while saving four of the six faced on serve. 

Wednesday’s play got underway at 2:30 p.m. local time, three-and-a-half hours after the original start time, due to rain.

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Wimbledon: Injured Petra Kvitova to skip Birmingham warm-up

  • Posted: Jun 12, 2019

Two-time Wimbledon champion Petra Kvitova is a doubt for this year’s tournament after she withdrew from the Birmingham warm-up with an arm injury.

The 29-year-old world number five, who lifted the singles title in 2011 and 2014, pulled out of her first-round French Open match last month.

“Unfortunately Birmingham is too soon,” she wrote on Twitter

“I’m working really hard to get back as soon as possible and keeping everything crossed for Wimbledon.”

Kvitova beat British number one Johanna Konta on her way to a successful defence of Birmingham’s Nature Valley Classic title last year.

Her 2017 victory at the event was her first title since she was stabbed by an intruder in her home the previous December.

“I have the best memories of Birmingham,” she added. “It was the first place that I won a title after I came back from my injury. I always have the best time there and I hope next year I will see you on the beautiful grass courts.”

However Kvitova’s fellow Czech Karolina Pliskova will be in the draw.

The world number three joins Australian and US Open champion Naomi Osaka and newly-crowned French Open winner Ashleigh Barty among the field.

It is the first time the Edgbaston tournament has featured the world’s three best-ranked players. This year’s event begins on 15 June.

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Andy Murray aims for singles return in 2019

  • Posted: Jun 12, 2019

Britain’s Andy Murray hopes to return to the singles court before the end of the year, but thinks he is unlikely to be ready in time for August’s US Open.

The former world number one, who had his hip resurfaced in January, is due to play doubles at Queen’s Club next week.

Murray will partner Feliciano Lopez at the Fever-Tree Championships in London.

But the 32-year-old says he still has “quite a lot of work to do” before he can be competitive in singles again.

“It’s baby steps just now,” Murray said.

  • Murray to make competitive comeback at Queen’s
  • Nadal & Federer welcome Murray comeback
  • How to follow the grass-court season with BBC Sport

“I’m feeling good, pretty much pain free and enjoying just training, practising, improving all the time just now.

“I don’t think when Wimbledon finishes that I will just step on to the singles court the following week and everything’s good.

“At this moment I’ve been progressing all of the time. At some stage it’s probably going to plateau for a while before I’m able to kick on.

“I hope at some stage this year I would be able to get back to playing singles again. I’m not really interested in putting a time limit on it because I’m quite happy just now.

“So I don’t need to play singles after Wimbledon or at the US Open to – you know, enjoy doing what I’m doing just now.

“If I can, that would be brilliant, but I don’t think that’s going to be the case. I think it’s going to take a bit longer.”

Murray has not played competitively since losing to Roberto Bautista Agut in the first round of January’s Australian Open.

No player has ever resumed a singles career after the operation Murray had, although American doubles player Bob Bryan returned five months after the surgery in 2018.

Murray has had a few singles practice sessions since being given the all clear to increase his workload three weeks ago. One of those practices was with this year’s Australian Open quarter-finalist Frances Tiafoe at The All England Club.

Murray is avoiding extended rallies for the moment, but hopes to be able to focus more on singles after Wimbledon, where he is expecting to compete in the doubles.

“I have done some singles training drills with my coach,” Murray said.

“Earlier on I was hitting with singles players but I was more stationary. I was moving them rather than them moving me about.

“So I have not played proper singles. I am hoping that will come more after Wimbledon.”

Meanwhile, the WTA has confirmed that Amazon has won the exclusive rights to broadcast the women’s tour for the next four years.

Amazon’s online channel Amazon Prime, which already has rights to 39 ATP men’s events, will broadcast a minimum of 49 tournaments in 2020.

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