Raonic Tops Isner, Opelka, Karlovic In This Key Serving Stat
Raonic Tops Isner, Opelka, Karlovic In This Key Serving Stat
Milos Raonic’s serve may be even better than we thought.
An Infosys ATP Insights deep dive into first- and second-serve performance only when players win their matches over the past two seasons identifies Raonic at the top of the tree in both categories. The data set is comprised of all players who had a minimum of 20 wins on Tour in the past two seasons combined.
Raonic has won 51 tour-level matches the past two seasons and accumulated win percentages behind first and second serves that simply have no peer.
2018/19: First-Serve Win Percentage When Winning The Match
|
Rank |
Player |
Win Percentage |
Total |
|
1 |
Milos Raonic |
86.15% |
1903/2209 |
|
2 |
Ivo Karlovic |
85.13% |
1053/1237 |
|
3 |
Sam Querrey |
84.81% |
1736/2047 |
|
4 |
Reilly Opelka |
83.45% |
1331/1595 |
|
5 |
John Isner |
83.42% |
3008/3606 |
|
6 |
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga |
83.32% |
1409/1691 |
|
7 |
Marin Cilic |
81.82% |
2461/3008 |
|
8 |
Jan-Lennard Struff |
81.50% |
2004/2459 |
|
9 |
Kevin Anderson |
81.34% |
2703/3323 |
|
10 |
Feliciano Lopez |
81.30% |
1330/1636 |
The average first-serve win percentage when players won their match was 76.39 per cent (172,615/225,974). That metric is eight percentage points higher than the average when they lose their match.
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Average First-Serve Points Won/Lost
Winning the match = 76.9%
Losing the match = 68.9%
Gap = 8 percentage points
Raonic’s tour-leading numbers also extend to second-serve points when winning the match, where he sits at 61.78 per cent (826/1337).
2018/19: Second-Serve Win Percentage When Winning The Match
|
Rank |
Player |
Win Percentage |
Total |
|
1 |
Milos Raonic |
61.78% |
826/1337 |
|
2 |
Rafael Nadal |
61.42% |
1492/2429 |
|
3 |
Roger Federer |
61.35% |
1578/2587 |
|
4 |
John Isner |
60.51% |
904/1494 |
|
5 |
Philipp Kohlschreiber |
60.12% |
680/1131 |
|
6 |
Yoshihito Nishioka |
59.25% |
410/692 |
|
7 |
Miomir Kecmanovic |
58.82% |
370/629 |
|
8 |
Alex de Minaur |
58.47% |
1142/1953 |
|
9 |
Novak Djokovic |
58.41% |
1559/2669 |
|
10 |
Juan Ignacio Londero |
58.27% |
398/683 |
The average second-serve win percentage when players won their match was 55.61 per cent (75,097/135,032). That metric is 8.7 percentage points higher than the average when they lose their match.
Average Second-Serve Points Won/Lost
Winning the match = 55.6%
Losing the match = 46.9%
Gap = 8.7 percentage points
Raonic had a strong run to the quarter-finals of the 2020 Australian Open, defeating Stefanos Tsitsipas and Marin Cilic along the way. He is currently No. 32 in the FedEx ATP Rankings, and most importantly, is healthy once again.
Where will he end 2020? With a serve like his, anything is possible.