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Think You Missed Federer At His Peak? Think Again

  • Posted: Dec 28, 2017

Think You Missed Federer At His Peak? Think Again

Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers shows how Federer had one of his best serving years ever

It’s official. One of the greatest players of all-time has found a way to become even greater.

Roger Federer put up better serve numbers in 2017 than he has at any other time in his illustrious career. We thought the glory days of Federer existed primarily between 2003-2007, when he amassed 49 tour-level titles, and seemed from another world. But along came seven titles in 2017, and the Renaissance of Roger stunned us all.

An Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers analysis of Federer’s combined first and second serve win percentages shows this season has no peer in those categories. This year, the Swiss won 79.7 per cent (2181/2734) of his first-serve points to be ranked fourth best on tour in this specific category. Federer failed to hit the 80 per cent mark from 1991-2014 with first serve points won, but he has now done it for three consecutive years.

You May Also Like: Infosys Beyond The Numbers: #NextGenATP Serving Under Pressure

Federer won 59.4 per cent (989/1664) of his second serve points in 2017, finishing second to Rafael Nadal, who won 61.2 per cent. Federer’s best winning season with this specific metric was 2012, when he won 60 per cent of his second serve points.

When you combine Federer’s first and second serve points won in a single season from 1999 to the present, 2017 sits at the top of the mountain. The Swiss right-hander also finished second on tour with service games won in 2017, at 91.3 per cent (684/749), slightly edged by John Isner, who won 92.9 per cent (747/804).

In many ways, Federer’s body of work in 2017 surpassed milestones that he established over a decade ago. Father Time has clearly yet to catch up to Federer, who at 36 years of age, is playing a smart schedule to maximise his prodigious talents and extend his career.

If you think you missed Federer at his peak, think again.

Roger Federer 1999-2017: 1st & 2nd Serve Points Won / Combined Total

Year

1st Serve Points Won

2nd Serve Points Won

Combined Total

1999

70%

49%

119

2000

72%

52%

124

2001

74%

53%

127

2002

76%

54%

130

2003

78%

59%

137

2004

78%

58%

136

2005

76%

59%

135

2006

77%

59%

136

2007

77%

59%

136

2008

77%

58%

135

2009

79%

57%

136

2010

78%

56%

134

2011

79%

57%

136

2012

78%

60%

138

2013

76%

55%

131

2014

79%

58%

137

2015

80%

57%

137

2016

80%

56%

136

2017

80%

59%

139

AVERAGE

77.1%

56.6%

134

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The Stat That Shows Why Dimitrov Had His Best Year Yet

  • Posted: Dec 28, 2017

The Stat That Shows Why Dimitrov Had His Best Year Yet

Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers explains how the Bulgarian upped his level when facing break points

Grigor Dimitrov has tightened his grip on his own destiny.

Imagine the server holding a tennis ball in his hand, and the returner trying to rip it free. That’s essentially what happens at the crucible moment of break point in a tennis match. The server still possesses the ball, but the returner is just one strong pull away from owning the moment.

It’s a battle of determination and nerves as much as strategy, and Dimitrov has vastly improved in saving break points this season compared to the rest of his career.

You May Also Like: Down The T or Out Wide? Depends What You Want

An Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers analysis of Dimitrov’s performance at break point in 2017 compared all the way back to the 2011 season, when he first broke into the Top 100, identifies improved maturity, strength and resolve that has powered him to a career best No. 3 in the Emirates ATP Rankings.

Dimitrov: Break Points Saved 2011-2017

Year

Break Points Saved

2017

70%

2016

60%

2015

65%

2014

64%

2013

60%

2012

65%

2011

55%

2011-2016 Average

61.5%

Dimitrov saved a career-best 70 per cent (252/360) of break points in 2017, which was 10 percentage points better than 2016. It was also fourth best on tour this year in this critical category. One big reason for the improvement was Dimitrov put more first serves in play when facing break point.

2017 Averages

  • Overall 1st serve percentage = 63% (3183/5034)

  • 1st serve percentage facing break point = 66% (237/360)

Dimitrov performed slightly better making first serves in the deuce court down 15/40 than he did in the Ad court at 0/40, 30/40 and all the Ad Out points combined.

1st Serve Percentage Down Break Point

  • Deuce court = 74% (58/78)

  • Ad court = 63% (179/282)

In the Ad court, where 82 per cent of his break points were contested in 2017, he preferred to serve wide the most, which also delivered the highest win percentage out of the three locations.

Dimitrov: 2017 1st Serve Facing Break Point / Ad Court

Ad Court Wide Body T
1st Serves Made 35 (57%) 7 (11%) 20 (32%)
1st Serves Won  27 (77%) 5 (71%) 11 (55%)

In the deuce court, where only 18 per cent of his break points were contested, every time the Bulgarian served down the T, he saved the break point (9/9), which was far superior to the 55 per cent (11/20) he won serving down the T in the Ad court.

Dimitrov: 2017 1st Serve Facing Break Point / Deuce Court

Duece Court Wide Body T
1st Serves Made  9 (64%) 0 5 (36%)
1st Serves Won  9 (100%) 0 3 (60%)

Dimitrov’s steely resolve helped him reach new heights in 2017. If he continues on this trajectory, he may be set to push even higher.

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Nadal Delays Start To 2018 Season

  • Posted: Dec 28, 2017

Nadal Delays Start To 2018 Season

Spaniard still planning on playing at the Australian Open

Rafael Nadal has been forced to withdraw from the first ATP World Tour tournament of 2018, the Brisbane International presented by Suncorp, which starts 31 December. The Spaniard announced on social media that he’s still not fit to play after participating but eventually pulling out of the final two tournaments of the 2017 season – the Rolex Paris Masters and the Nitto ATP Finals – because of a right knee injury. 

“I am sorry to announce I won’t be coming to Brisbane this year. My intention was to play but I am still not ready after last year’s long season and the late start of my preparation,” Nadal said.

You May Also Like: The Most Telling Stats Of 2017 — Part 2

The 31-year-old finished No. 1 in the 2017 year-end Emirates ATP Rankings for the fourth time, winning six titles, including two ATP World Tour Masters 1000 crowns – the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters and the Mutua Madrid Open – and two Grand Slams, his 10th Roland Garros and his third US Open.

Nadal was planning on making his second appearance in Brisbane after reaching the quarter-finals on debut in 2017 (l. to Raonic). “I had a great time there and it was a great start to the month I spent in Australia,” he said.

The Spaniard still plans to play the season’s first Grand Slam, the Australian Open, which he won in 2009 and has reached the final of three times – 2012, 2014, and 2017. “I will be seeing my Aussie fans when I land on the fourth in Melbourne and start there my preparation for the Australian Open,” he said.

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Nadal pulls out of Brisbane International

  • Posted: Dec 28, 2017

Rafael Nadal has withdrawn from the Brisbane International with an ongoing knee injury but says he still intends to play at the Australian Open.

The world number one had already pulled out of the Mubadala World Tennis Championship in Abu Dhabi this weekend.

“I am still not ready after last year’s long season and the late start of my preparation,” said Spaniard Nadal, 31.

Meanwhile, Roger Federer does not “think it’s normal and realistic” to match his 2017 exploits next year.

The 36-year-old Swiss, who has arrived in Australia to play in the Hopman Cup in Perth, won the Australian Open and Wimbledon in 2017.

“I’ve got to try and keep it cool. Try my best and see what happens but the preparation has been good so far,” he added.

“We’ll see how things go.”

The Australian Open starts on 15 January and Nadal, who was beaten by Federer in a five-set epic in the 2017 final, is planning to arrive at the start of the month.

“I will be seeing my Aussie fans when I land on the fourth in Melbourne and start there my preparation for the Australian Open,” he said.

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